ROLAND GARROS FINALS: SHARAPOVA Vs HALEP

This year, Roland Garros has brought many surprises and one of them is that Serena Williams and Li Na didn’t even get to the semifinals at that making Maria Sharapova the number-one-favorite of the tournament.

Simona Halep is the biggest breakout of the French Open; she showed great performance and reached the finals without dropping a set (last time it was done by Justine Henin in 2007). Just one year ago Simona was ranked world No.57 and today she’s seed No.4 and plays Roland Gaross finals against Maria Sharapova.

In semi-finals Halep won against Petkovic in two sets 6-2, 7-6; her fastest serve was 175 KMH and she made 20 unforced errors. Comparing it with Sharapova’s semi-finals against Bouchard (4-6, 7-5, 6-2), we see pretty much the same fastest serve – 172 KMH, but Sharapova made more unforced mistakes – 35. However, Masha has a rather weak second serve and according to statistics she won only 41% of them.

The interesting tendency about French Open, is that Sharapova drops the first set and then she gets a second breath and wins over her opponents as it was with Bouchard (4-6, 7-5, 6-2), Stosur (3-6, 6-4, 6-0), and Muguruza (1-6, 7-5, 6-1). The same scenario happened one month ago during the Madrid Open when Sharapova played in finals against Halep and won (1-6, 6-2, 6-3). As Maria explains it, she is very competitive and by losing the first set she gets it all together and becomes more concerned about winning the match. “When you’re forced to be in those situations when you’re either not playing well or you find yourself in a losing position, I just don’t want to give up, because I work too hard to just let a match go,” Sharapova said.

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It’s quite clear that Halep wants to take the revenge for the lost match in Madrid, and to tell the truth, she made a great work over the last year. Foremost, she has a chance to be the first Romanian to win in the Grand Slam finals since 1978 (by the way, Halep’s manager Viriginia Ruzici was the last one to win Roland Garros; she played on the same venue Simona will play tomorrow).

Of course, Halep is all on the edge because it’s the first Grand Slam final she’s going to play. She had never been so close to win a major before and up till now her best performance was the quarter-finals at Australian Open 2014.

Tomorrow Halep sees as a great chance for revenge, as she says, “I have to take that revenge. I will fight for this one. I played a really good match in Madrid first set. I started really well. I was very fast on court, and I opened the angles very well. But she came back very, very well and she hit strong, stronger than me at that moment. Now, I have to be aggressive again, to play fast, like my style, and to stay there with the nerves. It will be a tough moment for me.”

But what are the chances? Maria, 27-year-old, is older and thus more experienced tennis player, who won 31 titles, Simona, 22-years-old, won only 7 titles; Maria plays her 9th Grand Slam final, while Simona would be there for the first time; Simona moves faster, but Maria has stronger groundstrokes; her serve is powerful but it is very inconsistent, and her second serve is poor; while Simona has served better than Maria over the last two weeks. Sharapova definitely has to improve her serve. As to Simona, she has to take a hold on herself and play the way she did throughout the whole Roland Garros. Simona also would want to attack Maria’s second serve, which is proved to be rather weak; and in general, she has to take the game straight away and not give Maria a change to “get aggressive”, otherwise we will see the same outcome as with Bouchard and others. Final tip for Halep is to play deep balls because any ball that falls in the middle would be hit back by Sharapova as hard as possible.

At the moment, bookies have the odds in Sharapova’s favor; for instance, bet365 has 1.53 that Masha wins, while Simona gets only 2.50. bet365 also predicts that Maria wins in 2 sets (1.57) with the score 2-0 (2.50). Another bookie Betfair has slightly different odds but also in Maria’s favor; Betfair gives 1.6 that Maria wins. The highest odds (1.73) are that there will be two sets with the exact score 6-3 (5.7).

The thing is that these are only odds based on the previous performance and a lot depends on Simona. Yes, she is a Grand Slam rookie, and she might go down because of nerves OR she might be one of those newbies, who seize the moment as it was at Wimbledon in 2004 when mighty Serena Williams dropped the finals to a Russian teenage player – Maria Sharapova.

So according to the way both Sharapova and Halep have recently played, we are going to bet 7 units on Simona Halep to win the first set with 2.2 odds from bet365.

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bookie punisher
Author: bookie punisher View all posts by
I got into the exciting world of sports betting years ago when information on the subject was much more difficult to find. Of course I made a lot of rookie mistakes and bad bets but over time I learned from those experiences. Nowadays, those who want to start out placing sports bets have the opposite problem. There’s so much information available that it’s so hard to sort through it all and to know who to listen to. With this blog I’ll be doing that work for you and I’ll strive to bring you nothing but the best betting tips and information the internet has to offer. I invite you, my readers, to actively participate and share your feelings and experiences by commenting on my blog entries!

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