Germany vs Ireland (EURO 2016 Qualifiers, 14.10.2014)

Germany host Ireland in Gelsenkirchen for a match where the World Cup Champions cannot afford another lost points. Despite losing to Poland, which is viewed as the proverbial “end of the world” the bookmakers still favor the hosts to win outright, with William Hill giving them 1.30 odds. Ireland are currently on the second place on the table with six points, yet the bookmaker gives them 9.50 odds to win.

Germany are currently on the 4th place on the table after two match days. The loss to Poland was their first one in the history against that opponent, which prompted team manager Oliver Bierhoff to state “The loss was unnecessary.” It was the first time Germany lost a qualifying game since 2007, but the time between the matches is not too long to be allowed to wallow too much, a thing which the international press is doing in abundance. Joachim Löw has enough star power to field two teams, but he will have to change something so that Germany find it easier in front of the goal.
Against Poland, Germany were by far the far superior team, both by possession percentage and by shots on target; they had 19, but failed to convert every one of them. Karim Bellarabi impressed on his debut for the national team, and is expected to start against Ireland too. Lukas Podolski should make a start if Andre Schürrle is not cleared, and Kramer is up for selection after the knock he got in the match against Poland. In spite of having one of the best midfield players the world has to offer, the defensive line is missing Philipp Lahm and Mertesacker, which makes them prone to errors and conceding goals.

Ireland were off to a perfect start of their campaign as they now sit comfortably on the second place on the table with the same number of points as Poland, but an inferior goal difference. Their most recent result is a 7-0 against Gibraltar, but the match against Germany will be their first real test against new manager. Their most dangerous player remains Robbie Keane, who is also their captain and managed to score a hat-trick against Gibraltar. Ireland also suffer from injury woes as Keogh is a sure no show for the team, while Murphy is still under doubt.
The last time the two teams met Germany won with 9-1 on aggregate, and while nobody will expect the same story to repeat itself, Ireland’s manager O’Neill stated, “I think if you go there and sit in for the whole night then Germany will find a way in behind you. We have some attacking options and I think it’s important that we go there and try to cause them problems.” Joachim Löw knows Ireland pretty well, “Ireland are a side that predominantly defend and play on the counter. We will talk about our finishing and how we can convert chances like we had.”

William Hill has an offer for Germany to win and over 4 goals per match at 2.37, same betting market for Ireland at 21.00. Germany for both halves at 1.75, Ireland 19.00 and both teams to score has 2.05 odds. The team with most corners to be Germany has 1.18 odds, Ireland 4.80 and over 12 corners per match has 2.80 odds. From 25-45 booking points has 2.37 odds, Ireland to get booked first at 1.53, Germany 2.70 and Robbie Keane as an anytime goalscorer has 4.33 odds. Thomas Müller as an anytime goalscorer has 1.67 odds, while both Mario Götze and Andre Schürrle have 1.73 odds. We are betting 8 units on Germany to win both halves at 2.45 with William Hill.

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bookie punisher
Author: bookie punisher View all posts by
I got into the exciting world of sports betting years ago when information on the subject was much more difficult to find. Of course I made a lot of rookie mistakes and bad bets but over time I learned from those experiences. Nowadays, those who want to start out placing sports bets have the opposite problem. There’s so much information available that it’s so hard to sort through it all and to know who to listen to. With this blog I’ll be doing that work for you and I’ll strive to bring you nothing but the best betting tips and information the internet has to offer. I invite you, my readers, to actively participate and share your feelings and experiences by commenting on my blog entries!

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