Archive:  January, 2014

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad [Prediction, February 2]

January 30, 2014 0 Betting, News, Predictions, Soccer

Atletico Madrid proved that La Liga is not all about Barcelona and Real Madrid, and that if your style of play and discipline allows you to, you can challenge the so-called leaders for the top spot. They are at the same number of points with Barcelona, have one point on Real Madrid and simply cannot afford a misstep against Real Sociedad. Bet365 offers great odds for this Saturday match, even for a draw, which most likely will not hold up for long.

After a draw against Sevilla at home, Atletico Madrid has three wins, an average of two goals per match, and a great record at home where they recorded 12 wins. Even though they are the overall favorites to win, Real Sociedad is not to be discarded based on the place they have in la Liga which takes them to Europa League.
They still have their Copa del Rey clash against Racing Santander to go through, but considering they are sporting one of the strongest la Liga forms and a 1-3 win in the first leg, it is highly unlikely that Real Sociedad will lose the chance to go to the semifinals. They have Dani Estrada and Granero missing due to muscle injuries, but their goalscorer is Griezmann, who scored twice in their most recent 4-0 win over Elche.

Bottom line is that trying to stop Atletico Madrid from pursuing Barcelona might be time spent in vain, as the home side looks really strong at home with only 7 conceded goals in eleven games but since we think Real Sociedad will put up a fight, we’ll bet 6 units on both teams to score at 2.00, with odds from Bet365.

Malaga vs. Sevilla [Prediction, February 1]

January 30, 2014 0 Betting, Predictions, Soccer

In Spain La Liga is interesting not just for the fight for the top spot, the middle layer gives way to rather interesting matches. One of them is Malaga vs Sevilla, set for the 22 matchday for which we’ll take odds from William Hill.

An interesting common fact is that prior to this match both teams lost in la Liga, though Malaga had it worse, they lost against Barcelona with 3-0 and slipped to the 16th place which puts them too close to the relegation zone they want to avoid. They have 21 points out of 21 matches and it looks like a win is the one thing to keep them straight en route to climb up the La Liga table. Malaga didn’t win this year; the one thing they can boast about is the goalless draw against Valencia and a goalkeeper with great saves; Caballero is the one to thank for the Valencia point.
Malaga also plays better at home, but they do have injuries to worry about as Weligton, Samu and Gamez will be missing out, but they will be looking towards Santa Cruz to score at least once for a boost of confidence. Sevilla lost against Levante, in a match they were the clear favorites, but it just goes to prove that not always the overall favorite on paper can deliver.

Sevilla is on the 7th place with 31 points, so it is rather understandable that they are regarded as the favorites to score first. They started the year with a win over Getafe and a clean sheet, but then they had two consequent 1-1 draws against Elche and Atletico Madrid. It is difficult to know how will Malaga fair in this match, but the real issue is that Sevilla is better at transforming chances into goals, are undefeated in the last five away games and an outright win is not out of the cards.

William Hill gives 4.20 odds of Sevilla winning both halves as well as 1.90 for there to be over 1.0 goals in the first half. A clean sheet goes for 3.30 for Sevilla and 3.90 for Malaga but considering where the teams stand we’ll bet 6 units on Sevilla winning the first half at 3.07.

Shalke 04 vs. Wolfsburg [Prediction, February 1]

January 30, 2014 0 Betting, News, Predictions

Bundesliga gives way to some interesting matches that have certified favorites and not really. One of these matches is against Shalke 04 and Wolfsburg, two teams on the 5th and 6th places on the Bundesliga table that are separated by merely one point. Ladbrokes has valuable odds for both teams, though if you study them closely – it’s leaning towards favoring the home side.

Even though Shalke are the favorites of this match, not one bookie is discarding Wolfsburg. Though, if you look at Shalke’s home form, you’ll see that their losses only come from Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, while their away games finds Shalke 04 with 16 conceded goals. The opening Bundesliga 2014 match saw Shalke with a clean sheet 3-0 win over Hamburger SV that should give them the much needed boost of confidence. Huntelaar was the player in charge of scoring the first goal, but you can also look towards Farfan and Max Meyer to be the ones for scoring goals. Look at the squad the hosts are sporting, with Julian Draxler and Kevin Prince Boateng back in the mix, Shalke 04 looks like a shoe in for them to score first betting market.
Wolfsburg started Bundesliga with a defeat against Hannover 96, which was their first for the past 6 head to head games. The team fairs much better at home where they managed to score 18 goals and concede only 9. In the away games this season, Wolfsburg has somewhere around the half mark winning rate and they concede much more easily, 13 goals against.

The majority of bookies predict an even match that may very well end in a draw; either that, or both teams to score. If you go for the under 2.5 goals per match then Ladbrokes has a 2.10 odds for it to happen, but we’ll bet 6 units on the second half to be the one with the majority of goals.

Internazionale vs Catania [Recap, January 26th]

January 28, 2014 0 Betting, News, Soccer

Just when you think that things couldn’t get worse, they always do. We thought Internazionale Milano would recover from the poor form they’ve been showing lately, and placed a bet with bet365 on them to win this match against the last placed team in Serie A. Only that it wasn’t so and Inter finished the match against Catania in a goalless draw, and we lost the bet placed on them to win both halves.

Inter dominated ball possession, had a handful of chances to score, but only managed to get really close to the goal line three times, and all because Catania was dead set on defense yesterday. That’s why they didn’t excel at ball possession or chances, but they did manage to stop Palacio from scoring in the first half.
inter vs catania
Diego Milito was also close to score in the first half, but props to Catania for not budging. The extreme pace of the match died down close to the end of the first half and it could have ended even worse for Inter as Catania found a breach in their defense and Bergessio shot the ball close to the post.

Inter seems to think they played well, but couldn’t capitalize on the chances they created, which seems to be the exact opposite of what the international press think. While many deemed the match as the most boring one so far, Inter didn’t seem too phased by it and are not exactly looking forward to their match against Juve.

Result: -6 units, bet lost

Bordeaux vs. St.Etienne [Recap, January 26th]

January 28, 2014 0 Betting, News, Soccer

The bet we placed on St.Etienne to win the first half with odds from William Hill not only didn’t pay off, it also ended in a 0-2 defeat for the fourth placed Ligue 1 team. St. Etienne managed to go five matches without being defeated prior to succumbing to Bordeaux, a defeat which they most likely will attribute to the state of the pitch which was beyond unacceptable to play on.

By losing this match they also lost the golden opportunity of getting closer to Lille. If they had won this the distance between the two teams would have been of only one point. It was all due to the fact that Lille had a draw against Rennes, but St.Etienne couldn’t take the opportunity.
bordeaux vs st.etienne
Bordeaux on the other hand put a stop to their four consecutive defeats and for their first won in 2014. The first goal came into the 41 minute when Traore finally scored with a close range shot and offered the lead for Bordeaux. The second goal came shortly after the start of the second half when Henrique scored in the same manner.

Bordeaux didn’t stop here, Sertic looked close of scoring a third goal for the home side, but the ball merely brushed the far post of Ruffier’s line. There were four bookings and all of them came into the St.Etienne camp, a thing for which William Hill gave great odds.

Result: -7 units, bet lost