Archive:  March, 2013

Lyon – Sochaux [Prediction]

March 29, 2013 0 Betting, Soccer, Sports

The last Ligue 1 match of this round is taking place on Sunday night, between Lyon and Sochaux. Lyon is the clear favorite of the game, and their victory is best awarded at William Hill, which offers odds of 1.50.

Lyon have been through a difficult time after the elimination from Europa League. The hosts have only 2 points won in the last 3 rounds of Ligue 1, and for the moment have lost contact with leaders PSG. Still, the team remains on the 2nd position with 53 points gained in all 29 rounds, and also with a very good goal average of 48 to 30. Until now they have established good results at home, imposing themselves in 9 of the 14 games, and only losing twice.

On the other hand, Sochaux can’t afford to aim too high. The guests are currently on the 18th position on the Ligue 1 chart after 29 rounds in which they collected only 28 points. Also, they have a very poor goal average of 30 to 46. Moreover, in this moment they are struggling to remain afloat, since they are only one point above the red line. The 14 times they had to play as guests in this championship, Sochaux have won only 2 times, and 4 out of the latest 5 matches disputed on foreign land, were lost.

In the last two years, these teams have met 4 times. Lyon imposed themselves 2 times, Sochaux one time and the other match ended in a 1-1 draw.

I think there shouldn’t be any doubt about who is going to win the match from Sunday. While Lyon are still fighting for the championship title, Sochaux are struggling hard to remain above the red line, without too many hopes. In addition, Lyon have the big advantage of playing at home. So I will bet 10 units on Lyon’s victory at 1.50. The odds were used from William Hill.  

 

Drogheda United – Bray Wanderers [Recap]

March 28, 2013 0 Betting, Soccer, Sports

Last Sunday, the Irish football team Drogheda United secured their first three points of the season in a tight fight against neighbours Bray Wanderers, which ended in a superb 2-1 Drogheda’s victory. The success achieved by Drogheda at Hunky Dorys Park brought me some extra cash, since I won the bet I placed on Drogheda at Bet365.

Bray broke the deadlock in the 15th minute, with the help of Jason Byrne. After that, a free kick sent by Eric Foley in the 55th minute levelled matters before Ryan Brennan scored the winning goal in the 79th minute.

Kieran ‘Marty’ Waters had the first opportunity of the match as he cut inside Shane Grimes, but Gabriel Sava immediately took advantage of his weak effort. Drogheda responded very quickly, and the neat approach started by David Cassidy led to a perfect opportunity for Ryan Brennan which was parried behind for a corner.

In the 25th minute, Drogheda United were awarded a penalty, after the left wing movement of Gavin Brennan lead to Cassidy being taken down by Gary Dempsey.

Drogheda‘s intense play put amazing pressure on the rival team the whole match, and there was no way Bray could beat them, in spite of continuous efforts. They pushed several players forward in hope of an equaliser and in spite of the five minutes of overtime, the home side didn’t budge for a deserved three points victory.

Result: +7 units, bet won

Atletico Madrid – Valencia [Prediction]

March 26, 2013 0 Betting, Soccer, Sports

On Sunday, Vicente Calderon Stadium will witness a special encounter between Atletico Madrid and Valencia. William Hill offers really high odds for this week’s La Liga games, including the one we’re presenting for you. Atletico Madrid’s confidence is boosted after their win over Osasuna, which allowed them to stay on the third place on the table, and just one point behind Real Madrid. Valencia approaches the game after a really easy win over Castellon, with a categorical 1-5.

Surprisingly enough Atletico Madrid managed to win only 2 of their last seven encounters, Valencia won three, including their last head to head game, and two games ended with a draw. Statistics point to a fairly equal share of numbers, but when you look at the conceded goals there is a difference of 16 goals, with Atletico Madrid having conceded only 24 with Valencia’s 40. Atletico’s biggest defeat was against Barcelona (1-4) and Valencia lost with a resounding 5-0 score against Real Madrid.

If we look at the squads we notice Ernesto Valverde will have to work without Piatti, Ricardo Costa and Victor Ruiz all out with injuries and no definite date for the return on the squad. Diego Simeone has only two major players sidelined: Tiago out with a broken arm and Juanfran suspended with the possibility to return on the 1 of April.

Some tips and predictions see Valencia as literally doomed to fail, while other sideline Atletico Madrid whose strength on their home field is beyond dispute. The match will take place at 21:00 GMT+1 and Vicente Calderon stadium should witness another great game.

I’m going to go with Atletico Madrid and bet 6 units at 1.75, odds from William Hill.

Caen – Istres [Recap]

March 26, 2013 0 Betting, Soccer, Sports

In our prediction for this game we suggested that Istres should up their game by a lot if they want to avoid relegation, and in a certain manner they either heard us or figured everything out on their own, because they didn’t make things easier for Caen, not even a little. I won 4.4 units from the bet placed on Caen’s victory with odds from Betfair.

While many expected Caen to just breeze through the game with a comfortable victory, the game was won during additional time with a goal by Caen’s captain Jeremy Sorbon. For the entire 90 minutes of the game, SC Caen was unable to find a breach in Istres defense, who were as courageous as their relegation depended directly on this game. A magnificent Denis Petric wasn’t enough to keep his team together rand secure it an important point, even though he successfully blocked several shots, including one from Alexandre Cuvillier and Livio Nabob in the 75th minute of the game.

Istres defeat seems somewhere logical, as it was extremely dangerous during the first half, with a great shot by Sid Yahia-Cherif (24 minute), but came out different in the second half. According to Joris Sainati “All matches are the same in the second half. We created a handful of opportunities, but we lacked the effectiveness to finish them. At this point every single goal we concede is fatal to our hopes of staying in the Ligue.”

With only 10 more games to play, both teams look differently, Caen might win this if they keep relying on making really effective player changes during the game, such as proved by this games substitution of Cullivier by Kuyung-Jung Kim. Entering the game in the 62nd minute, the midfielder boosted his team’s confidence on both flanks, and even came through with some breakthrough shots. Istres on the other hand is four places near the relegation area and if they don’t implement some changes, they might not make it through.

Result: +4.4 units, bet won

Drogheda United – Bray Wanderers [Prediction]

March 21, 2013 0 Betting, Soccer, Sports

Drogheda United comes from a 1-1 draw with Derry City; a match which they started brightly, but  didn’t manage to maintain a consistency of the game. Still, it was Derry City who created the best openings of the match, and after Ryan McBride scored for City in the 32nd minute, Mick Daly managed to reestablish the balance by scoring a late header in the 81st minute.

On the other hand, Bray Wanderers will join this match completely disappointed after a terrible 3-0 defeat suffered in front of Sligo Rovers last week. Two goals scored by Anthony Elding, and a stoppage strike by Kieran Djilali placed Slingo on the top of the Premier Division table.

Drogheda United won all last 3 head-to-head matches against Bray Wanderers, the last two with two 3-1 victories and the third one with 4-2. In addition, their latest results  were much more impressive and they proved to be more steady in play than their rivals from Sunday.

This being said, I have no doubt that Drogheda United has all the chances to win this confrontation against neighbors Bray Wanderers, so I am going to place a bet on Drogheda’s victory. I bet 10 units at 1.70, with odds from Bet365.