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AC Milan vs Fiorentina (Serie A, 26.10.2014)

October 25, 2014 0 Betting, Predictions, Soccer

The defeat against Juventus looks to have done more good than bad to AC Milan as the Rossonerri are now sporting an unbeaten run of four matches. As Milan get ready to host Fiorentina this Sunday, the bookmakers are backing the hosts to earn a third consecutive win.

The Rossonerri are just five points behind Juventus and one point of the last Champions League place. Their best player at the moment is without any doubt Honda, and chances are Pippo Inzaghi will build his starting eleven around him. This role was tipped to go to Fernando Torres at the beginning of the season, but so far he has done little to impress the supporters. While Muntari said the Spaniard is an important piece to their puzzle, the press did not fail to notice the diplomacy and not honesty in his answer. Montolivo is the only absence from the team, and with Diego Lopez finally back from his injury, expect Milan to start with a new goalkeeper.
Fiorentina are a rather unlucky team and not only this term. The Viola come from a 0-2 defeat to Lazio and are on the 11th place in the table. In Europa League they managed to win against PAOK, which was their third straight one in the group, and are leading now the group with an iron fist. Fiorentina will miss the eternally injured Mario Gomez and Giuseppe Rossi. Considering the potential both players have it is understandable why Montella misses their contribution to the team. Nigel De Jong returns from suspension and Bet365 gives him 12.00 odds to score anytime.

AC Milan is the overall favorite of this match with 2.05 odds with Bet365, and Fiorentina to upset the Rossonerri has 3.60 odds. AC Milan to win to nil has 3.40 odds, Fiorentina for the same market 6.50 and the hosts to win either half 1.53 odds. Pazzini to score anytime 2.40 odds, El Shaarawy has 2.62 odds and Honda 3.50. We’re betting 8 units on AC Milan to score in both halves at 3.25 with the same bookie.

Getafe vs Atletico Madrid (La Liga, 26.10.2014)

October 25, 2014 0 Betting, Predictions, Soccer

There’s more to El Clasico for La Liga this weekend as Atletico Madrid face Getafe in an attempt to get back into the Champions League race. The bookmakers favor the visitors to win this match and not only because they are the current La Liga champions, but also as a result of the impressive Champions League win where they managed to score five goals in the second half and keep a clean sheet.

Getafe are doing quite well in La Liga, they have seven points from the last three matches and their late result is a deserved last minute win against Real Sociedad. Yoda scored both goals during extra time and kept Getafe with a positive goal difference. On Wednesday the team returned to training but without Arroyo, Leon and Vazquez nursing different injuries. Cosmin Contra divided the players in two groups and had the ones starting against Sociedad work different kind of exercises than the rest of the group. Getafe have the means to produce an upset, as the technician managed to save the team from relegation and even make them better.
Atletico Madrid lost only once this season, at the hands of Valencia, but Diego Simeone managed to pick the team up in time to destroy Malmo in Champions League with goals scored by five different players. During yesterday’s training session, Gabi, Tiago and Ansaldi made rehabilitation exercises and with no return date set, Simeone is left to hope it won’t take too much, especially for Gabi who has the better chances to feature in Sunday’s match. Atletico are the better team out of the two, and with all of the key players available you can easily bet on an Atletico win at 1.61 with Ladbrokes.

Getafe to win has 6.00 odds and a draw has 3.75 odds. Getafe looks a more organized team than they were last season, which could end up in not so many goals. Despite that 7-0 win from last season, Atletico always found it difficult to break Getafe’s defense, which outs value on the over 2.5 goals betting market. Yoda to score anytime has 4.50 odds, Mandzukic 2.15, Cerci 3.25 and Raul Garcia 3.00. We are going to bet 8 units on the second half with most goals at 2.10 with Ladbrokes odds.

LOSC Lille vs Everton (Europa League Recap, 23.10.2014)

October 24, 2014 0 Betting, Recaps, Soccer


Result: -8 units, bet lost

Galatasaray vs Borussia Dortmund (Champions League Recap, 22.10.2014)

October 23, 2014 0 Betting, Recaps, Soccer


Result: +10,85 units, bet won

LOSC Lille vs Everton (Europa League, 23.10.2014)

October 22, 2014 0 Betting, Predictions, Soccer

The two headliners from group H meet in France for bragging rights on who gets to be called the team to bounce back from a not so good internal league from. Currently, Everton are the only team in the group to be able to win a game, and while neither can afford a draw, they have enough talent to decide a match, even if with the current group standings Lille needs to win more.

Lille have one win in the last five matches, three of which are defeats and one draw against Wolfsburg. Martin, Lopes and Ryan Mendes are all unavailable for selection due to injuries which does not bode well for a team that are currently on the 8th place in Ligue 1 with 15 points after 10 match days. Their problem is not the attacking power, but the finishing of created chances which almost never end up in goals. A case for study: their Champions League qualification tie against Porto, where they were unable to really threaten the Portuguese goal line.
Everton are not looking too sharp either, as they sport the counter performance of having conceded 16 goals in Premier League. However their most recent result is a win against Aston Villa where they kept a clean sheet. After winning against Wolfsburg, they failed to capitalize on being the favorites and ended the match against Krasnodar in a draw, and their performance was mainly dictated by injuries, but Everton should take comfort on getting Seamus Coleman and Ross Barkley back from long injury spells. Roberto Martinez will also be able to count on Naismith being in top form, seeing as the striker has already 4 goals to his tally.

For this particular match we’re betting 8 units on an outright Everton win at 2.90 odds with Unibet. Lille to win has 2.50 odds and both teams to score has 1.88 odds. Samuel Eto’o is the main choice in the betting market of a player hitting the crossbar but without scoring with 10.00 odds. No goals in the first half with 2.60 odds and Origi to score 3.35 odds. Lukaku in the same betting market has 3.00 odds and Samuel Eto’o 3.35, with Steven Naismith at 3.75 to score anytime.